Ukraine’s armed forces are bracing for a challenging fall as Russia steps up its push to capture the Donetsk region, once Ukraine’s industrial heartland. Russia already controls around 70% of Donetsk, while Ukrainian troops hold on to a “fortress belt” of four key cities.
Shortages of troops, supplies, and chaotic command make defending the region increasingly difficult. Ukrainian officers say Russia is avoiding large-scale urban battles like Bakhmut, instead using small groups to infiltrate and cut supply lines. These tactics achieve minor gains but cost many soldiers’ lives.
Drones and glide bombs help Russia strike Ukrainian positions and supplies, weakening defenses without direct attacks. In the north, Ukraine’s 63rd Brigade is protecting Lyman, a vital logistics hub, while in the south, Russia is advancing near Pokrovsk toward Kostiantynivka.
Experts warn Ukraine struggles with exhaustion, troop shortages, and mismanagement. Some brigades have thousands of soldiers on paper but can field only hundreds in combat. Technology, courage, and volunteer support help temporarily, but systemic issues remain.
If Russia breaks the fortress belt, it could displace civilians and worsen economic damage. Analysts caution that even full control of Donetsk may not end the war, and pressure on Ukraine will likely continue.
